SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
52.04% ( 0.67) | 22.38% ( -0.31) | 25.57% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( 1.11) | 38.65% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( 1.17) | 60.96% ( -1.17) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.63) | 15% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 1.18) | 43.45% ( -1.18) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.32) | 28.05% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.4) | 63.71% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.04% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.61% Total : 25.57% |
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