Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
32.6% ( -0.04)	23.31% ( -0.02)	44.09% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 62.93% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.5% (

0.08)

38.5% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.2% (

0.09)

60.79% (

-0.09)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62% (

0.02)

23.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.64% (

0.02)

57.35% (

-0.03)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

0.05)

17.86% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

0.1)

48.63% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 32.6%

De Graafschap 44.09%

Draw 23.3%

Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 44.09%