SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | De Graafschap |
32.6% ( -0.04) | 23.31% ( -0.02) | 44.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.08) | 38.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0.09) | 60.79% ( -0.09) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( 0.02) | 57.35% ( -0.03) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0.05) | 17.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( 0.1) | 48.63% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 44.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
