SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
41.57% ( 0.18) | 25.77% ( 0.09) | 32.66% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.46) | 49.76% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( -0.41) | 71.77% ( 0.4) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.11) | 23.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( -0.16) | 57.86% ( 0.15) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.4) | 28.79% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.5) | 64.63% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.66% |
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