SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.66%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Nuremberg |
45.82% ( -1.56) | 21.51% ( -0.04) | 32.67% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 69.85% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.95) | 29.49% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.43% ( 1.15) | 50.57% ( -1.15) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( -0.15) | 13.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( -0.3) | 40.97% ( 0.3) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 1.28) | 19.04% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( 2.09) | 50.63% ( -2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.42% Total : 32.67% |
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