Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
32.79% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() | 43.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% (![]() | 61.98% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% (![]() | 23.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% (![]() | 57.97% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% (![]() | 18.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% (![]() | 49.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.65% |
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