Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 5pm UK
Tapiolan Urheilupuisto
Eremenko (44'), Koski (60'), Hernandez (90+3')
FT
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Honka and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tobol 2-1 HonkaThursday, July 13 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 2-1 HonkaThursday, July 13 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Honka | Draw | Tobol |
| 65.3% | 21.13% ( -0) | 13.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( 0.02) |
| 49.29% ( 0.02) | 50.71% ( -0.02) |
| 27.39% ( 0.02) | 72.61% ( -0.02) |
| 85.23% ( 0.01) | 14.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.02) | 43.03% ( -0.01) |
| 51.96% ( 0.02) | 48.04% ( -0.02) |
