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CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 1am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
CC

Houston
0 - 1
Columbus Crew

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Houston Dynamo and Columbus Crew.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawColumbus Crew
48.66% (0.058 0.06) 23.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.02% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)39.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)16.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.032000000000004 0.03)46.48% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)62.07% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 48.66%
    Columbus Crew 28.23%
    Draw 23.1%
Houston DynamoDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Houston
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Atlanta
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, December 9 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, December 2 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, November 25 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Atlanta
Monday, November 13 at 12am in Major League Soccer


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