SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
65.33% ( 0.19) | 19.23% ( -0.07) | 15.43% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.44% ( 0.1) | 38.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.14% ( 0.11) | 60.86% ( -0.11) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( 0.08) | 11.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( 0.18) | 35.41% ( -0.18) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.08) | 37.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( -0.08) | 74.65% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.32% Total : 65.33% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.23% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43% |
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