SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Instituto |
51.17% ( -0.16) | 28.46% ( 0.24) | 20.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.97% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.74) | 66.12% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.33% ( -0.51) | 84.67% ( 0.51) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.42) | 26.41% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( -0.56) | 61.57% ( 0.57) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.6% ( -0.54) | 48.4% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.48% ( -0.39) | 83.52% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 17.01% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 51.16% | 0-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 12.35% 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.37% |
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