SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.83% ( 0.48) | 25.65% ( 0.38) | 32.52% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -1.88) | 49.29% ( 1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( -1.72) | 71.34% ( 1.72) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.58) | 23.4% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.85) | 57.38% ( 0.86) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -1.46) | 28.64% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( -1.87) | 64.45% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.52% |
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