Inter can get back on track with a victory this week, as Fiorentina do not tend to travel well, and their attacking approach may play into the champions' hands. The Nerazzurri have scored the joint-most goals in the last 30 minutes of Serie A games this season (22), so another late strike such as last weekend's should not be discounted if the scores remain level heading towards stoppage time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
67.62%	18.45%	13.93%

Both teams to score 54.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.84%

38.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.56%

60.44%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.64%

10.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.14%

33.86%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35%

39.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67%

76.33%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 67.61%

Fiorentina 13.93%

Draw 18.45%

Inter Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.52% 4-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 4.62% Total : 67.61%	1-1 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.45%	1-2 @ 3.99% 0-1 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.93%