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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
JL

Inter Milan
4 - 4
Juventus

Zielinski (15' pen., 37' pen.), Mkhitaryan (35'), Dumfries (53')
Pavard (59'), Dumfries (75')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Vlahovic (20'), Weah (26'), Yildiz (71', 82')
Danilo (52'), Cabal (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 0-0 Juventus

This latest instalment of the Derby d'Italia will be a battle of trophy-winning experience against success-hungry youth: Inter have the highest average age in Serie A this season (29 years and 255 days), while Juventus have the second-lowest, more than five years younger. Both teams are more than capable of keeping clean sheets - in fact, it is written deep within Juve's DNA - so a safety-first stalemate could disappoint an expectant San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
56.25% (0.423 0.42) 23.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.611 -0.61)47.74% (0.61 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.568 -0.57)69.93% (0.566 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)16.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.124 -0.12)46.72% (0.122 0.12)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)37.47% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.788 -0.79)74.25% (0.786 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 56.25%
    Juventus 20.57%
    Draw 23.17%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Torino
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Red Star
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, October 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 Juventus
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Napoli
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in Serie A


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