Bolivar have overcome a lot of odds to get to this point, but their recent away form and past history in Brazil has us sceptical they can overturn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Internacional in this match.

Result
Internacional	Draw	Bolivar
63.25% ( 0.43)	20.74% ( -0.17)	16.01% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.7% (

0.27)

44.3% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

0.26)

66.67% (

-0.27)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

0.21)

13.36% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.74% (

0.43)

40.25% (

-0.43)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.34% (

-0.17)

40.66% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.75% (

-0.15)

77.25% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Internacional 63.24%

Bolivar 16.01%

Draw 20.74%

Internacional	Draw	Bolivar
2-0 @ 11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 63.24%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.74%	0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.01%