Both teams enter Friday's contest following a positive run of form, so a closely-contested match could be on the cards, with Internacional boasting the slight psychological advantage taking into account their recent head-to-head record.
However, The Red have not been at their free-flowing best on home soil in recent weeks, so we can see Sao Paulo coming away with at least a point from Santa Catarina.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.08) 
0.03) 
