SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
38.03% ( 0.01) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 36.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.22) | 49.24% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.2) | 71.29% ( -0.2) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.11) | 25.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.15) | 60.13% ( -0.15) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.13) | 26.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 0.17) | 61.54% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18% |
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