Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.07) 
