SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
57.79% ( 0.02) | 23.35% ( 0.03) | 18.85% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( -0.16) | 50.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.14) | 72.59% ( 0.14) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.05) | 17.29% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -0.09) | 47.63% ( 0.09) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( -0.15) | 41.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( -0.13) | 77.57% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.78% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.85% |
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