It promises to be a tight tactical battle between two intense coaches, as a couple of Calcio heavyweights scrap it out on Saturday. Napoli have attempted the most shots so far in Serie A (72), but well-drilled Juventus have faced the fewest (25) and could grind out another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Napoli
40.01% ( -0.2)	26.2% ( 0)	33.8% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

0.03)

51.31% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

0.02)

73.13% (

-0.02)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.1)

25.23% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-0.13)

59.97% (

0.14)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

0.14)

28.82% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

0.17)

64.67% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Juventus 40%

Napoli 33.8%

Draw 26.19%

Juventus	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.8%