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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 12, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Cerezo

Toshima (4')
Mitsumaru (64'), Matsumoto (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shindo (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
33.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.6% (-0.093 -0.09) 39.48% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.372 0.37)52.98% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.317 0.32)74.57% (-0.318 -0.32)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (0.176 0.18)29.57% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (0.215 0.22)65.6% (-0.217 -0.22)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.22699999999999 0.23)26.28% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.305 0.31)61.39% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.91%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.48%
    Draw 26.6%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.91%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Cerezo
Friday, July 28 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League


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