SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
20.92% ( -0.58) | 23.29% ( -0.47) | 55.79% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 1.25) | 47.78% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 1.14) | 69.97% ( -1.14) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.12) | 37.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 0.12) | 73.93% ( -0.11) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.84) | 16.96% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 1.47) | 47.05% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.92% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.03% Total : 55.78% |
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