Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
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