SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
62.13% ( -0.26) | 20.37% ( 0.27) | 17.49% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.04% ( -1.27) | 39.96% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% ( -1.32) | 62.32% ( 1.32) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( -0.46) | 12.34% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.84% ( -0.97) | 38.16% ( 0.97) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.77) | 36.24% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( -0.79) | 73.03% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.13% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.49% |
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