SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
33.44% ( -0.12) | 27.22% ( -0.02) | 39.35% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0.06) | 55.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( 0.05) | 76.67% ( -0.05) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -0.05) | 31.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( -0.06) | 67.46% ( 0.06) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.11) | 27.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( 0.14) | 63.03% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.35% |
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