SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Turkey |
15.15% ( -0.04) | 20.44% ( 0) | 64.41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.11) | 44.7% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -0.1) | 67.06% ( 0.1) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.12) | 42.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.52% ( -0.1) | 78.48% ( 0.09) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( -0.03) | 13.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( -0.05) | 39.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.15% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.44% | 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 64.39% |
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