SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
47.6% ( -0.07) | 25.73% ( 0.02) | 26.67% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.07) | 52.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.06) | 74.08% ( 0.06) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.06) | 22.02% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.66% ( -0.09) | 55.34% ( 0.09) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( -0) | 34.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0) | 71.2% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.67% |
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