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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
SL

Lens
2 - 1
Sevilla

Frankowski (63' pen.), Fulgini (90+6')
El Aynaoui (37'), Medina (75'), Fulgini (85'), Danso (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramos (79' pen.)
Soumare (61'), Salas (65'), Ramos (80'), Mir (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Sevilla

Bereft of reinforcements in all areas of the field and struggling for inspiration domestically, Sevilla ought to travel to France in hope more than expectation, especially with Lens always a force to be reckoned with in front of their expectant crowd. Haise's men have not always dazzled and delighted on the attacking front in recent weeks, but they should find their way through a depleted Sevilla backline at least once to ensure Europa League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawSevilla
48.74% (0.012 0.01) 23.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.59% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.4% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)49.55% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.89% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.99% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 48.74%
    Sevilla 27.28%
    Draw 23.97%
LensDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 27.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Lens
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico Astorga 0-2 Sevilla
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 PSV
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Betis
Sunday, November 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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