SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Benin |
25.14% ( -0.55) | 27.9% ( 0.17) | 46.96% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 43.83% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.83% ( -0.87) | 61.16% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.88% ( -0.66) | 81.11% ( 0.65) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.98) | 40.64% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( -0.9) | 77.23% ( 0.89) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.22) | 26.15% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( -0.29) | 61.23% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.95% |
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