SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Barnsley |
35.99% ( -0.64) | 25.35% ( 0.09) | 38.66% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.43) | 47.32% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.4) | 69.55% ( 0.4) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.56) | 25.6% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -0.77) | 60.48% ( 0.77) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.1) | 24.14% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( 0.15) | 58.45% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.48% Total : 35.99% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.66% |
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