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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
NC

Lincoln
2 - 0
Notts County

Burroughs (6'), Vale (67')
O'Connor (45+1'), Shodipo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tipton (15')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNotts County
30.58% (2.431 2.43) 24.24% (0.5 0.5) 45.18% (-2.931 -2.93)
Both teams to score 58.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-0.876 -0.88)43.81% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-0.861 -0.86)66.2% (0.86099999999999 0.86)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (1.209 1.21)27.2% (-1.208 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (1.549 1.55)62.61% (-1.549 -1.55)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-1.539 -1.54)19.55% (1.539 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-2.575 -2.58)51.46% (2.575 2.58)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 30.58%
    Notts County 45.18%
    Draw 24.24%
Lincoln CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.411 0.41)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.484 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.455 0.46)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.256 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.58%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.389 -0.39)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, October 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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