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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Progreso |
34.97% ( -1.42) | 28.24% ( 0.21) | 36.79% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.86% ( -0.78) | 59.14% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( -0.61) | 79.58% ( 0.61) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( -1.3) | 31.97% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( -1.51) | 68.43% ( 1.51) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( 0.38) | 30.81% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( 0.44) | 67.09% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.78% |
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