SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
69.6% ( 0.12) | 16.53% ( -0.03) | 13.87% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.07) | 28.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.48% ( -0.08) | 49.52% ( 0.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.55% ( 0) | 7.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( -0.02) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.16) | 33.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.18) | 70.02% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 69.6% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 13.87% |
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