SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
37.94% ( -0.02) | 27.53% ( 0) | 34.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.01) | 56.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( -0.01) | 77.53% ( 0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.02) | 28.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -0.02) | 64.69% ( 0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0) | 30.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( 0) | 67.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.52% |
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