Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0) 
