SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
57.12% ( -0.03) | 22.79% ( 0.03) | 20.09% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.11) | 46.72% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( -0.11) | 68.98% ( 0.11) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -0.05) | 16.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( -0.09) | 45.53% ( 0.09) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.06) | 37.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.06) | 74.16% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.11% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.09% |
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