SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
43.08% ( -2.15) | 23.31% ( 0.36) | 33.61% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 63.31% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( -1.06) | 38.17% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( -1.13) | 60.44% ( 1.13) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -1.28) | 18.15% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( -2.22) | 49.12% ( 2.23) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.51) | 22.65% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( 0.75) | 56.29% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.61% |
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