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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.3% ( -0.34) | 22.81% ( 0.23) | 38.89% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 66.14% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( -1.18) | 34.82% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( -1.33) | 56.79% ( 1.33) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.66) | 18.8% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( -1.11) | 50.22% ( 1.11) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.46) | 18.54% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( -0.78) | 49.78% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.89% |
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