Recent form suggests Bochum will not be able to move towards the top half in the closing stages of the season, but maintaining the current healthy gap to the bottom three will do, and they should at least end their barren run here.
Mainz may be resigned to a bottom three finish after last week's damaging defeat, but catching Koln in 16th could give them a reprieve in the playoff, and that will likely be the target now.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
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