SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Central African Republic |
77.33% ( -0.22) | 16.29% ( -0.16) | 6.38% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 32.47% ( 2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( 1.91) | 50.99% ( -1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( 1.65) | 72.86% ( -1.66) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( 0.47) | 11.32% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64% ( 1.02) | 35.99% ( -1.03) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.61% ( 2.27) | 63.38% ( -2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.71% ( 0.99) | 92.28% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 2-0 @ 17.02% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 15.63% ( -0.92)3-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.24)5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.17)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 77.31% | 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.57) 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.29% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.48% Total : 6.38% |
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