Rayo have played their best football on their travels this season, and we came close to backing them to secure all three points here. Mallorca have only lost twice at home in the league this season, though, drawing seven times, and we can see a goalless draw occurring on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
36.56% ( 0.02)	29.8% ( 0)	33.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.49% (

-0.01)

64.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.45% (

-0.01)

83.55% (

0.01)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

0.01)

33.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

0.01)

70.38% (

-0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29% (

-0.02)

35.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

-0.02)

72.48% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 36.55%

Rayo Vallecano 33.64%

Draw 29.79%

Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.79%	0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.64%