SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
60.36% ( -0.03) | 21.57% ( 0.32) | 18.07% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -1.91) | 44.41% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.88) | 66.78% ( 1.89) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0.63) | 14.27% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( -1.24) | 42.06% ( 1.24) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( -1.46) | 38.23% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% ( -1.43) | 74.99% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.78% Total : 60.35% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.07% |
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