SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 1-3 (5.75%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
31.18% ( -0.76) | 21.88% ( 0.11) | 46.94% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 67.62% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.94) | 32.08% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.34% ( -1.11) | 53.66% ( 1.11) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.86) | 21.08% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( -1.37) | 53.9% ( 1.37) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.13) | 14.32% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.85% ( -0.26) | 42.15% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.94% |
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