SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
55.92% ( 0.23) | 20.93% ( -0.04) | 23.15% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.07) | 34.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% ( -0.07) | 56.1% ( 0.07) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.71% ( 0.04) | 12.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.95% ( 0.09) | 38.04% ( -0.09) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.19) | 27.49% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -0.25) | 62.99% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 23.15% |
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