SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
48.04% ( 0.16) | 22.37% ( 0) | 29.59% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.11) | 35.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.12) | 57.48% ( 0.12) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.01) | 15.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( 0.03) | 43.83% ( -0.03) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.15) | 23.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( -0.22) | 57.77% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
