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MU
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Old Trafford
NL

Man Utd
0 - 3
Newcastle


Mejbri (14'), Casemiro (19'), Reguilon (77'), Amrabat (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Almiron (29'), Hall (36'), Willock (61')
Willock (46'), Joelinton (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
40.16% (-0.742 -0.74) 24.78% (0.172 0.17) 35.06% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.33% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.686 -0.69)44.83% (0.689 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.663 -0.66)67.19% (0.666 0.67)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.654 -0.65)22.27% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.993 -0.99)55.71% (0.997 1)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)59.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 40.16%
    Newcastle United 35.06%
    Draw 24.77%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Man Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Galatasaray
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League


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