SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
40.16% ( -0.74) | 24.78% ( 0.17) | 35.06% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.69) | 44.83% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( -0.66) | 67.19% ( 0.67) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.65) | 22.27% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( -0.99) | 55.71% ( 1) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( 0.01) | 24.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( 0.01) | 59.6% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.06% |
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