SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
54.94% ( -0.45) | 22.4% ( 0.14) | 22.65% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.25) | 41.8% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.25) | 64.2% ( 0.25) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( -0.23) | 15.13% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.29% ( -0.44) | 43.71% ( 0.44) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0.14) | 32.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( 0.16) | 68.62% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 22.65% |
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