SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
53.57% ( -1.07) | 21.87% ( 0.25) | 24.56% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 61.88% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( -0.28) | 37.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% ( -0.3) | 59.42% ( 0.3) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% ( -0.43) | 14% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.48% ( -0.85) | 41.52% ( 0.85) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.5) | 28.05% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.63) | 63.71% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.59% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.57% Total : 24.56% |
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