SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
43.83% ( 0.14) | 25.93% ( 0.29) | 30.23% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -1.36) | 51.31% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( -1.2) | 73.13% ( 1.2) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -0.52) | 23.3% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( -0.76) | 57.24% ( 0.76) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.99) | 31.21% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( -1.17) | 67.55% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.23% |
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