SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
56.86% ( -0.01) | 22.92% ( 0.02) | 20.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.09) | 47.06% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.09) | 69.3% ( 0.09) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.03) | 16.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.09% ( -0.06) | 45.92% ( 0.07) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.06) | 37.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.79% ( -0.06) | 74.21% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.85% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.23% |
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