Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend.
Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
