Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.08) 
