SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
39.21% ( -0.02) | 28.4% ( -0.11) | 32.39% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.41) | 60.01% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.75% ( 0.31) | 80.24% ( -0.31) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.19) | 29.78% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.23) | 65.86% ( -0.23) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.31) | 34.18% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( 0.33) | 70.87% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.38% |
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